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Report Comment
"I screwed up the math.
In comparing the number of harmless people committed to the number of violent people let go in a system that is wrong 2 out of 3 times in designating people “dangerous”, and wrong 1 out of 10 times in designating people “harmless”, I missed a decimal point in the second calculation. I’ve redone the numbers and get the following:
let go commit harmless violent Harmless Violent
committed let go Committed Let go
990 10 6.7 99 1 to 14.85
985 15 10 98.5 1 to 9.85
960 40 26.7 96 1 to 3.6
900 100 66.7 90 1 to 1.35
869 131 87.3 86.9 1.005 to 1
800 200 133.3 80 1.667 to 1
500 500 333.3 50 6.667 to 1
200 800 533.3 20 26.67 to 1
100 900 600 10 60 to 1
30 970 646. 7 3 215. 6 to 1
10 990 660 1 660 to 1
Compare this to “Let ten guilty men go free lest one innocent man be convicted.” Federal Judges have more than turned that around for people with mental illness, as if such people are 10 to 100 times more dangerous than violent predators, and getting committed doesn’t destroy lives. If Federal Judges had to face this kind of justice in their confirmation hearings, with the added penalty that if not confirmed they lose forever the right to practice, they would be squealing about a lot worse than “high-tech lynchings”.
Well, this is frustrating. It seems that the Urban Tulsa editor program does not allow this to be put into nice, readable columns. If you wish to reconstruct this, the column headings are "let go", "committed", "harmless committed" one word over the other, "violent (over) let go", "Harmless (over) Committed", and "Violent (over) Let go". "
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